The Denver Broncos pulled off a huge blockbuster trade with the Seattle Seahawks to acquire quarterback Russell Wilson and they saw a bump in their Super Bowl 57 odds from +1800 to +1200. Meanwhile, the Green Bay Packers also saw improvement in their Super Bowl 57 odds from +1500 to +750 after they signed Aaron Rodgers to the richest contract in NFL history
Right after Super Bowl 56 ended, oddsmakers installed the Kansas City Chiefs and Josh Allen as co-favorites at +700 odds. That has not changed.
|Kansas City Chiefs||+700||+700|
|Green Bay Packers||+750||+1500|
|San Francisco 49ers||+1300||+1400|
|Tampa Bay Bucs||+3000||+2200|
|New England Patriots||+3500||+2500|
|New Orleans Saints||+4000||+3000|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+6000||+5000|
|New York Giants||+9000||+6500|
|New York Jets||+20000||+15000|
The defending-champion LA Rams were installed at +1000 odds to repeat, and their Super Bowl 57 odds did not move this week.
Moving Up: Packers, Broncos, Commanders
The Green Bay Packers won 13 games in each of the last three seasons. Rodgers won the MVP in each of the last two seasons, but the Packers failed to reach the Super Bowl once again. They were upset by the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Divisional Round, after they had consecutive losses in the NFC Championship Game in the two previous seasons.
With Rodgers locked up for the next four seasons for $200 million, the onus is on him to deliver another trip to the Super Bowl and a championship. The Packers jumped from +1500 odds to +750 odds to win the championship in the last 48 hours since news broke that Rodgers will return to the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field.
The Denver Broncos still have a long way to go before they win the Super Bowl, but at least the addition of Wilson puts them in a position to compete in the trigger-happy AFC West. Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs owned the Broncos the last few seasons, so it will be fun to watch a Mahomes/Wilson shootout two times a year in the next half-decade. With that said, the Broncos saw their Super Bowl 57 odds move from +1800 to +1200 after word got out about the Wilson trade with the Seahawks.
The Washington Commanders whiffed in their pursuit of Wilson, and the did not get Jimmy G even though they were rumored to acquire him in a trade with the San Francisco 49ers. It feels like the Commanders had no choice but to settle on renting Carson Wentz for a season. At any rate, he’s a better game manager than Taylor Heinicke. The Commanders saw a bump in their Super Bowl 57 odds from +5000 to +4000, but it’s nothing close to the movement from the Packers or Broncos.
Downtick: Bengals, Seahawks, Bucs
After the Seahawks shipped Wilson to the Broncos in exchange for Drew Lock, their Super Bowl futures tanked. The Seahawks were only +3500 odds with Wilson at quarterback, but plummeted to +10000 with Lock potentially under center.
At +10000 odds, the Seahawks were demoted and lumped into the bottom five with the bottom feeders like the Jacksonville Jaguars (+13000), Detroit Lions (+15000), New York Jets (+20000), and Houston Texans (+20000).
The Cincinnati Bengals saw downward movement in their Super Bowl 57 odds in the last couple of weeks. Joe Burrow and the Bengals were +1200 odds shortly after their loss to the Rams in Super Bowl 56, but you can now back them at +2200 odds.
The Tampa Bay Bucs dropped from +2200 to +3000 odds after Tom Brady retired. The Bucs were interested in acquiring Wilson, but they knew they were longshots. Bruce Arians and the Bucs now set their sights on Deshaun Watson. But how much will they have to overpay the Houston Texans to give up their troubled and disgruntled quarterback?
The New Orleans Saints dropped from +3000 to +4000 over the last few weeks. Their new number accounted for head coach Sean Payton abruptly retiring, in addition to their shaky quarterback situation.
The New York Giants have a new general manager and head coach, but their Super Bowl odds slipped from +6500 to +9000. I wonder what will happens when the Giants sign Mitchell Trubisky? I can see an argument for their odds getting a bump up or down with Trubisky vying for a starting QB job against Daniel Jones.